Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.