Swindon
3 - 4
Exeter

Smith (61', 85'), Palmer (90+2')
Grant (43')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kite (4'), Seymour (7' pen.), Atangana (63'), Hartridge (68')
Sweeney (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Exeter City
40.86%	25.95%	33.18%

Both teams to score 53.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57%

50.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64%

72.36%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21%

58.79%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38%

64.62%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 40.87%

Exeter City 33.18%

Draw 25.95%

Swindon Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.87%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.18%