Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.
