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League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 at 1pm UK
St. James' Park
SC

Exeter
1 - 0
Salford City

Jay (34')
Willmott (79'), Hartridge (90+4'), Bowman (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hladky (89'), Turnbull (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Salford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawSalford City
43.72%26.62%29.65%
Both teams to score 50.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71%54.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32%75.68%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81%59.18%
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83%33.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22%69.77%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.72%
    Salford City 29.65%
    Draw 26.61%
Exeter CityDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.03%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.65%

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