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League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 23, 2021 at 7pm UK
Boundary Park
EC

Oldham
2 - 1
Exeter

Jameson (35'), McCalmont (55')
Walker (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sparkes (67')
Collins (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawExeter City
20.82%22.66%56.52%
Both teams to score 54.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82%45.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48%67.52%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25%35.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47%72.52%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22%15.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08%44.91%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 20.82%
    Exeter City 56.52%
    Draw 22.65%
Oldham AthleticDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 5.8%
2-1 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 2.98%
3-1 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.82%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-2 @ 9.62%
1-3 @ 6.09%
0-3 @ 5.92%
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 2.81%
0-4 @ 2.73%
2-4 @ 1.45%
1-5 @ 1.04%
0-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 56.52%

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