Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.
