Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.