Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
