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FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
EC

Cambridge
2 - 1
Exeter

May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Exeter City

Although Cambridge may ply their trade in the league above Exeter, it is the Grecians who have won the last four meetings between the two, and we think that Taylor's side will emerge victorious on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
32.54%24.8%42.66%
Both teams to score 57.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.85%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21%26.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93%62.07%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63%21.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65%54.35%
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 32.54%
    Exeter City 42.66%
    Draw 24.79%
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 11.63%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-1 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 4.62%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.66%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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