Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
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