Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
0.66) 
-0.7) 
