SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
40.21% ( 0.66) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 34.14% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.33) | 48.85% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.3) | 70.95% ( 0.29) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.19) | 24.01% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( 0.27) | 58.27% ( -0.28) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.58) | 27.41% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( -0.76) | 62.88% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.14% |
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