SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
35.46% ( 0.04) | 24.14% ( -0.07) | 40.39% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.23% ( 0.37) | 41.76% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.83% ( 0.37) | 64.16% ( -0.37) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( 0.19) | 23.32% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.73% ( 0.28) | 57.26% ( -0.28) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.18) | 20.83% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0.28) | 53.51% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 40.4% |
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