Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
