We said: Colchester United 1-1 Rochdale
Colchester will be looking to make it three league games unbeaten on Tuesday evening, and we are finding it difficult to back the hosts to lose this match, but Rochdale have only been beaten in one of their last four in the league, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
