Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
