Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
