SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
33.77% ( 3.45) | 25.54% ( 0.45) | 40.69% ( -3.91) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.82) | 48.49% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( -0.75) | 70.62% ( 0.75) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 1.84) | 27.46% ( -1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 2.31) | 62.95% ( -2.31) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -2.22) | 23.61% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -3.31) | 57.69% ( 3.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.53)2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.4)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.7)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.5)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.58)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.3)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.69% |
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