SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Wrexham |
31.23% ( -1.55) | 23.74% ( -0.5) | 45.02% ( 2.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.7% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( 1.74) | 41.16% ( -1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( 1.74) | 63.55% ( -1.75) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.1) | 25.47% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -0.14) | 60.3% ( 0.13) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 1.58) | 18.55% ( -1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( 2.6) | 49.8% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.55)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.51% Total : 45.02% |
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