Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
15.43) 
-15.53) 
