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League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
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Mansfield
2 - 1
Stockport

Swan (55'), Clarke (56')
Clarke (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarcevic (53')
Camps (70')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Stockport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawStockport County
43.87% (15.428 15.43) 25.43% (0.102 0.1) 30.7% (-15.534 -15.53)
Both teams to score 54.63% (0.984 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.68 0.68)48.99% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.611 0.61)71.07% (-0.614 -0.61)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (9.384 9.38)22.28% (-9.386 -9.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (12.345 12.35)55.73% (-12.348 -12.35)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-8.215 -8.21)29.7% (8.212 8.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-11.227 -11.23)65.76% (11.225 11.23)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 43.87%
    Stockport County 30.7%
    Draw 25.42%
Mansfield TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 9.94% (2.111 2.11)
2-1 @ 9.06% (2.138 2.14)
2-0 @ 7.46% (2.961 2.96)
3-1 @ 4.53% (1.88 1.88)
3-0 @ 3.73% (2.009 2.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.712 0.71)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.939 0.94)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.905 0.91)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.447 0.45)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.87%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-2.426 -2.43)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-1.929 -1.93)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-3.168 -3.17)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-1.779 -1.78)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.502 -0.5)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-2.15 -2.15)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 5-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Mansfield
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Mansfield
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Stockport
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Stockport
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Barrow
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Halifax
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League


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