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HT
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
SC

Harrogate
0 - 1
Stockport

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jennings (53' pen.)
Croasdale (39'), Brown (70'), Hippolyte (90+2')

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Stockport County

Though things have yet to fall into place for Stockport this season, their investment in signing some top talents at league level means they should prove more than a match for Harrogate in the cup, and the visitors will edge through to the second round if they can click up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawStockport County
30.02% (2.961 2.96) 23.86% (0.836 0.84) 46.12% (-3.792 -3.79)
Both teams to score 59.58% (-0.726 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.66% (-1.926 -1.93)42.34% (1.927 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26% (-1.952 -1.95)64.74% (1.955 1.96)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (1.05 1.05)26.83% (-1.048 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (1.361 1.36)62.13% (-1.359 -1.36)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (-2.191 -2.19)18.57% (2.193 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16% (-3.825 -3.83)49.84% (3.827 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.02%
    Stockport County 46.12%
    Draw 23.86%
Harrogate TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.521 0.52)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.723 0.72)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.587 0.59)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.315 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.305 0.31)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.02%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.48 0.48)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.417 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.412 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.542 -0.54)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.544 -0.54)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-4 @ 2.19% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 46.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Swindon
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, July 16 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 Rotherham
Tuesday, July 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Harrogate
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Barrow
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Halifax
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Torquay Utd
Wednesday, May 11 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Stockport
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-1 Stockport
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League


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