Derby showed plenty of encouraging signs in their defeat to Charlton, and the introductions of young players in Sibley and Lewis Dobbin would only be a good thing for Rosenior.
Mansfield could very well have been competing with the Rams in league action this term, but the gulf in quality should become evident here as Derby pick up a confidence-boosting success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
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