Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
