Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.