Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.