Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
