Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
