Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 46.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
