Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.