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League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Vale Park
NC

Port Vale
2 - 1
Newport

Conlon (12'), Rodney (75')
Joyce (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scrimshaw (55')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawNewport County
34.49%27.94%37.57%
Both teams to score 47.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92%58.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25%78.76%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25%31.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82%68.18%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19%29.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11%65.89%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.48%
    Newport County 37.57%
    Draw 27.94%
Port ValeDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 11.45%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 37.57%

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