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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
S

Newport
5 - 0
Stevenage

Telford (12', 28', 48'), Baker-Richardson (34'), Azaz (50')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Stevenage.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawStevenage
45.07%27.77%27.15%
Both teams to score 45.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36%59.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04%79.96%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.56%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.98%38.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21%74.79%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.06%
    Stevenage 27.15%
    Draw 27.76%
Newport CountyDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.36%
2-0 @ 8.9%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.15%

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