Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
