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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 4
Arsenal U21s

Greenidge (19'), Abraham (62'), Fisher (68')
Woodiwiss (35'), Missilou (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hutchinson (33'), Oulad M'Hand (53'), Olayinka (86'), Sagoe Jr (90+2')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Arsenal Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawArsenal Under-21s
69.18%18.76%12.06%
Both teams to score 47.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81%44.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43%66.57%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35%11.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.31%36.69%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.58%46.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.96%82.04%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 69.17%
    Arsenal Under-21s 12.06%
    Draw 18.76%
Newport CountyDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.49%
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 6.87%
4-0 @ 4.82%
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.64%
5-0 @ 2.07%
5-1 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 69.17%
1-1 @ 8.92%
0-0 @ 5.41%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 4.15%
1-2 @ 3.42%
0-2 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 12.06%

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