Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
