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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James Park
NC

Exeter
2 - 2
Newport

Jay (22'), Nombe (55')
Daniel (5'), Grounds (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNewport County
42.18%27.88%29.94%
Both teams to score 46.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.18%58.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.67%79.33%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95%63.05%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.11%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 42.18%
    Newport County 29.94%
    Draw 27.87%
Exeter CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 29.94%

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