Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
4.88) 
-0.73) 
