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League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
HU

Northampton
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Magloire (31'), Appere (57')
Pinnock (39'), Hoskins (58'), Haynes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Umerah (45+4')
Menayese (52'), Lacey (58'), Crawford (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawHartlepool United
54.76% (4.881 4.88) 24.75% (-0.734 -0.73) 20.49% (-4.138 -4.14)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-2.76 -2.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-1.129 -1.13)54.05% (1.137 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (-0.953 -0.95)75.48% (0.961 0.96)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (1.552 1.55)19.68% (-1.545 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (2.46 2.46)51.67% (-2.452 -2.45)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (-4.66 -4.66)41.17% (4.668 4.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3% (-4.413 -4.41)77.7% (4.421 4.42)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 54.75%
    Hartlepool United 20.49%
    Draw 24.74%
Northampton TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.16% (1.16 1.16)
2-0 @ 10.7% (1.395 1.4)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.993 0.99)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.303 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.494 0.49)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.215 0.22)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.354 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.51 -0.51)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.618 -0.62)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.911 -0.91)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.744 -0.74)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.514 -0.51)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.378 -0.38)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 20.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Colchester
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, July 16 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 0-3 West Brom
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackburn 4-0 Hartlepool
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 4-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Sunderland
Monday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two


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