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League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
HU

Northampton
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Hoskins (6'), Zimba (61')
Mills (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Liddle (14'), Bogle (82'), Featherstone (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Hartlepool United

Both teams have plenty to play for in the final sections of the season, with each team wanting to push for a promotion into League One at the end of this campaign. Picking up three points here would be important for each squad, and Northampton Town might be able to just edge this, purely down to the home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawHartlepool United
48.41%26.51%25.08%
Both teams to score 47.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59%56.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58%77.42%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65%23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69%57.31%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97%38.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21%74.79%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.41%
    Hartlepool United 25.08%
    Draw 26.5%
Northampton TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.41%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 25.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Tranmere
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Walsall
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-3 Hartlepool
Friday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Bradford
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-2 Rotherham (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League Two


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