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League Two | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
MT

Northampton
0 - 1
Mansfield


Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town (Mansfield to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Having kept themselves in the tie, Northampton will fancy their chances when it comes to using home territory to their advantage. However, we feel that Mansfield will do just enough on Wednesday evening to come through this tie, potentially benefitting from a goal in the first half on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
35.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 28.04% (-0.339 -0.34) 36.08% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 47.7% (1.016 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (1.246 1.25)58.38% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.967 0.97)78.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.63900000000001 0.64)31% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (0.741 0.74)67.31% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.84699999999999 0.85)30.88% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (0.979 0.98)67.17% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 35.89%
    Mansfield Town 36.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, May 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-3 Northampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-4 Northampton
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Harrogate
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Oldham 0-2 Northampton
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, May 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Mansfield
Monday, May 2 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Crawley
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Mansfield
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two


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