Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
35.89% ( 0.01) | 28.04% ( -0.34) | 36.08% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 47.7% ( 1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.62% ( 1.25) | 58.38% ( -1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.02% ( 0.97) | 78.99% ( -0.96) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% ( 0.64) | 31% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% ( 0.74) | 67.31% ( -0.73) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( 0.85) | 30.88% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.84% ( 0.98) | 67.17% ( -0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.07% |
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