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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
44.1% ( -0.22) | 22.88% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.73% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.78% ( -0.27) | 36.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.66% ( -0.3) | 58.34% ( 0.3) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.19) | 16.95% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( -0.34) | 47.03% ( 0.34) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( -0.05) | 22.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( -0.07) | 55.4% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.3% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.02% |
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