SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Sutton United |
62.48% ( -0.92) | 19.21% ( 0.24) | 18.31% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 61.92% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0.05) | 32.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.38% ( 0.05) | 54.62% ( -0.05) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.85% ( -0.21) | 10.15% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.62% ( -0.48) | 33.38% ( 0.49) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0.74) | 31.08% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 0.85) | 67.4% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.48% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.31% |
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