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League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
G

Notts County
1 - 3
Gillingham

Crowley (13')
Bostock (45+3'), McGoldrick (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hawkins (19'), Clark (35'), Masterson (53')
Clemence (0'), Dieng (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Gillingham

Notts County will be keen to end their four-game winless run in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils against a Gillingham side that has lost just one of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
51.55% (-0.169 -0.17) 22.02% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 26.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (-0.16 -0.16)36.12% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (-0.174 -0.17)58.23% (0.172 0.17)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)14.27% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (-0.216 -0.22)42.04% (0.213 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.55%
    Gillingham 26.43%
    Draw 22.02%
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 26.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-5 Notts County
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 4-2 Notts County
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Gillingham
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-4 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two


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