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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.73% ( 1.33) | 21.52% ( -0.14) | 21.75% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.19% ( -0.85) | 38.81% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.88% ( -0.9) | 61.12% ( 0.9) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( 0.12) | 13.55% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( 0.25) | 40.64% ( -0.25) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -1.51) | 31.27% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( -1.79) | 67.62% ( 1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.73% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.75% |
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