Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.