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League Two | Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
CU

Port Vale
0 - 1
Carlisle


Crookes (20'), Whitehead (41'), Montano (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mellish (55')
Alessandra (42')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
45.48%26.45%28.07%
Both teams to score 49.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.74%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99%58.01%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59%34.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88%71.13%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 45.48%
    Carlisle United 28.07%
    Draw 26.44%
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.07%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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