Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.