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League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 at 1pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
EC

Crawley
2 - 0
Exeter

Nichols (62' pen.), Nadesan (83')
Tunnicliffe (26'), Nadesan (48'), Francomb (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sparkes (44')
Parkes (51')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
32.13%25.93%41.94%
Both teams to score 53.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38%50.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47%72.53%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44%29.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07%23.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85%58.15%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 32.13%
    Exeter City 41.93%
    Draw 25.93%
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.93%

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