Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
