Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
