Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.02) 
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