Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%).
-0.41) 
0.08) 
