SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
24.77% ( -0.37) | 25.13% ( -0.06) | 50.09% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( -0.05) | 51.4% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( -0.05) | 73.21% ( 0.05) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.35) | 35.54% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% ( -0.36) | 72.31% ( 0.36) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( 0.16) | 20.53% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( 0.25) | 53.03% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.77% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 50.09% |
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