Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 47.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.
