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League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
EC

Crawley
1 - 3
Exeter

Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
24.71%25.02%50.27%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96%51.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1%72.89%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83%72.16%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31%52.69%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 24.71%
    Exeter City 50.26%
    Draw 25.02%
Crawley TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.47%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 3.88%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.71%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.85%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.26%

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