Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
